A simulation of Variance (Long)

[AgentSp]

I'll post the results as best I can below for other ROI players. The results are in a table generated in excel where the left hand column are percentiles which hopefully are clear.

The 9% player sometimes has losing months which has got to hurt!


OK here are the results for a (1st=13%,2nd=12%,3rd=13%) = 15.5%ROI player again for the $20+2 SNG's

1 DAY=50 SNGs
MIN -$620
0.01 -$380
0.05 -$240
0.1 -$140
0.15 -$100
0.2 -$40
0.25 $0
0.3 $20
0.35 $60
0.4 $100
0.45 $120
0.5 $160
0.55 $180
0.6 $220
0.65 $260
0.7 $300
0.75 $340
0.8 $380
0.85 $440
0.9 $500
0.95 $600
0.99 $780
MAX $1,260

1 WEEK = 250 SNGs

MIN -$1,220
0.01 -$500
0.05 -$80
0.1 $120
0.15 $260
0.2 $380
0.25 $460
0.3 $554
0.35 $620
0.4 $700
0.45 $760
0.5 $840
0.55 $900
0.6 $960
0.65 $1,040
0.7 $1,140
0.75 $1,220
0.8 $1,320
0.85 $1,420
0.9 $1,560
0.95 $1,800
0.99 $2,220
MAX $3,420

1 month - 100SNGs

MIN -$580
0.01 $780
0.05 $1,560
0.1 $1,980
0.15 $2,260
0.2 $2,460
0.25 $2,640
0.3 $2,820
0.35 $2,960
0.4 $3,120
0.45 $3,260
0.5 $3,400
0.55 $3,540
0.6 $3,680
0.65 $3,820
0.7 $3,980
0.75 $4,140
0.8 $4,340
0.85 $4,580
0.9 $4,860
0.95 $5,280
0.99 $6,020
MAX $7,840


1 year = 12,000 SNGs

MIN $26,120
0.01 $31,780
0.05 $34,400
0.1 $35,820
0.15 $36,780
0.2 $37,520
0.25 $38,180
0.3 $38,740
0.35 $39,253
0.4 $39,740
0.45 $40,220
0.5 $40,700
0.55 $41,140
0.6 $41,680
0.65 $42,220
0.7 $42,820
0.75 $43,420
0.8 $44,080
0.85 $44,880
0.9 $45,900
0.95 $47,561
0.99 $50,360
MAX $58,060

Here are the results for a (1st=12%,2nd=12%,3rd=12%) = 9.1%ROI player again for the $20+2 SNG's

1 day=50SNG

MIN -$780
0.01 -$460
0.05 -$300
0.1 -$220
0.15 -$160
0.2 -$100
0.25 -$60
0.3 -$40
0.35 $0
0.4 $40
0.45 $60
0.5 $100
0.55 $120
0.6 $160
0.65 $200
0.7 $220
0.75 $260
0.8 $320
0.85 $360
0.9 $440
0.95 $540
0.99 $720
MAX $1,140

1 WEEK = 250SNG

MIN -$1,540
0.01 -$800
0.05 -$400
0.1 -$220
0.15 -$80
0.2 $20
0.25 $120
0.3 $200
0.35 $280
0.4 $340
0.45 $420
0.5 $500
0.55 $560
0.6 $640
0.65 $700
0.7 $780
0.75 $860
0.8 $960
0.85 $1,060
0.9 $1,200
0.95 $1,440
0.99 $1,800
MAX $3,080

1 Month=1000SNG

MIN -$2,280
0.01 -$520
0.05 $200
0.1 $580
0.15 $840
0.2 $1,040
0.25 $1,240
0.3 $1,400
0.35 $1,560
0.4 $1,700
0.45 $1,840
0.5 $1,980
0.55 $2,120
0.6 $2,280
0.65 $2,420
0.7 $2,580
0.75 $2,760
0.8 $2,940
0.85 $3,160
0.9 $3,420
0.95 $3,840
0.99 $4,620
MAX $6,240

1 year = 12,000 SNG

MIN $9,180
0.01 $14,960
0.05 $17,739
0.1 $19,120
0.15 $20,040
0.2 $20,740
0.25 $21,340
0.3 $21,940
0.35 $22,493
0.4 $22,960
0.45 $23,480
0.5 $23,980
0.55 $24,440
0.6 $24,920
0.65 $25,400
0.7 $25,940
0.75 $26,540
0.8 $27,180
0.85 $28,000
0.9 $29,080
0.95 $30,561
0.99 $33,340
MAX $39,300