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  #11  
Old 06-09-2005, 11:33 AM
TryingHard TryingHard is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
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Default Re: Did I make a bad fold on this river

I don't think this fold was that bad based on the BB stats.. Also as you would only of split the pot. Your odds on the river were only 7.1 to 1 rather than the 14.25 to 1 if you won the hand
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  #12  
Old 06-09-2005, 01:22 PM
DcifrThs DcifrThs is offline
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Default Re: Did I make a bad fold on this river

for the about 14 hands the BB played, he bet or raised only 1/4 of the times he called postflop. now he calls 2 cold and c'rs you on the turn...time to release it there.

-Barron
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  #13  
Old 06-09-2005, 01:49 PM
jayheaps jayheaps is offline
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Default Re: Did I make a bad fold on this river

Is it el diabo who says "if you have to ask, then it was a bad laydown."
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  #14  
Old 06-09-2005, 02:51 PM
adios adios is offline
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Default Re: Did I make a bad fold on this river

This looks to be a case where a small number of statistical results led you astray in this hand. Wouldn't it have been better to simply use straightforward logic to try and read hands here than rely on some stats?

Just to point a couple of things out:

BB called pre-flop after a raise and re-raise with the betting not closed.

BB called a raise and a re-raise again on the flop.

The Ace of hearts is on the board.

BB almost certainly doesn't have a 5 or a 6 for that matter. Likewise BB almost certainly doesn't have a pocket pair less than Aces. On the turn the BB check raises when an offsuit 6 comes. All this leads to the conclusion in my mind that the BB has an Ace maybe AA in the pocket for a set but not nearly as likely as a pair of Aces with a kicker . Given the action of the UTG+1 he doesn't have a 5 or a flush either as he looks to be toast. How good is your kicker in this spot? The fact that you have to overcall makes a call more dubious but this pot is laying you a lot for the overcall.
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