#1
|
|||
|
|||
What are the chances?
Party Poker $50nl ring game, full stacks. Played today just prior to posting.
Dealt pocket aces, poor sucker has KK and we're both all in preflop. I hit a set and scoop. Very next hand guess what? Pocket A's. This time another sucker raises in front of me. I reraise hoping that he thinks i'm making a move on him. He calls and we see a flop. 322 rainbow. He checks and I bet 2/3rd pot. He goes all in and I call thinking I'm up against KK,QQ,JJ. He turns over pocket 3's.. he has a set. But wait! salvation is found in the river which brings an ACE baby! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] Pay day! Pocket Aces dealt twice in a row, I hit the set both times and get fully paid off both times. What are the odds? Any other similar stories? |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
i posted up a thread a few days ago when i got dealt kk with someone else having rockets hand after hand.
won the first one (sucked out like a TRUE pro) and lost the second, though that one was against a short stack, thankfully. |
#3
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
unity
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
anyone good at maths? What are the odds?
|
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
Lemme see....Odds of being dealt AA= .0045 (.45%)
Odds of turning a PP turning a set= .108 (10.8%) So, the chance of doing it once is .000486, or (really small--four one-hundreds of a percent) Chance of doing it on consecutive hands (I think you just multiply the chance of the event by itself)--.000000236196. I think we're entering snowball's chance in the Sahara territory here. |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
Usually my incredible odds work the other way around. Like the night I 3 hands (2 full houses and a straight) to quads.
The odds of that happening in one have got to be astronomical. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
Odds of hitting aces are 1 in 220.
Odds of hitting aces on consecutive hands is 1 in 220^2 which is 48400 if my mental calculation is correct. Given a random hand, chances of winning with aces is 85%, so winning 2 random hands is roughly 70%. Therefore, i'd list the odds of this as ~~ 1 in 1.5*48400, or about 1 in 70,000. |
#8
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
220-to-1 != 1/220.
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
[ QUOTE ]
Usually my incredible odds work the other way around. Like the night I 3 hands (2 full houses and a straight) to quads. The odds of that happening in one have got to be astronomical. [/ QUOTE ] You've got to mean that you lost with three hands to quads. Cause the odds of you turning a flopped straight into quads by the river are VERY slim. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] |
#10
|
|||
|
|||
Re: What are the chances?
i dont have a calculator so im not going to bother squaring 221
|
|
|