55 set but board paired higher...

[Vagrant]

[ QUOTE ]
argh, I hate my passitivity (sp??).

I always fear monsters, and I shy off.

[/ QUOTE ]

YOU were the monster in this hand.

[Bodhi]

Where's the the bet/raise button anyway?

[Jakesta]

[ QUOTE ]
Where's the the bet/raise button anyway?

[/ QUOTE ]

It should be glued down for this hand. I had one just like it earlier, except a straight wasn't possible. I flopped a set of fives on a board of 25K, and a second K came on the turn. I felt incredibly comfortable capping both the turn and the river against this guy. He turned over KQ and I was glad that I did.

[hbaromega]

We are behind KK(3) 99(3) JJ(1) KJ(9) J9(9) a total of 25
The only hand I can put UTG+1 that we beat is QT(16)
I think that KJ and J9 are unlikely though it is possible UTG+1 overplayed two pair on the turn.

We lose two if we raise and are behind, (assuming we call the reraise) and me probably make at least 3 when we are ahead.

I would raise, and call a 3 bet.

[Jakesta]

That is weak-tight. QT is more likely for UTG+1 than the hands you listed above.

[hbaromega]

I agree QT is the most likely. I said there are 16 ways of making QT and 25 ways of making hands that beat us (oops I left out J5, doesn't matter) but the hands that could beat us are less likely based on the betting.

Would you cap the river as well?

[Jakesta]

You're damned right I'd cap the river, because it's online and I can't be 5bet. Heads up, in a casino, I'd call a 3bet.