Odds Question

[PokerNeophyte]

Even though given any particular 32 PPs, odds are low that you won't hit trips are low, if you play enough, chances are quite hight that you'll encounter a run of 32 without hitting.
To illustrate, suppose the chance of not hitting trips with 32 PPs is 1.825%. So, the chance of hitting trips with at least one is 98.175%. But, suppose you get 32 PPs every night for 100 nights. The chances that you would hit trips at least once each night is:
.98175^100 = .1585, or 15.85%

So, after 100 nights, each with 32 pocket pairs, the chance that you would have a dry spell one night is over 84%.

Of course, the dry spell stands out, but over a long enough period of play, it's to be expected.

[DaveduFresne]

Thanks, this actually helps me put it into context a lot better.

David