winning 5 SNG's in a row - Page 2

cleinen · #11 05-26-2005, 11:35 AM

Because if everything is equal then everyone loses to the rake. So your odds need to be better than 1 to 10.

mybrainssore · #12 05-26-2005, 11:41 AM

good shout

Should have added in "Assuming no rake"

Iamafish · #13 05-26-2005, 11:46 AM

So what are the odds of win five in a row?

BUT THEN, you gotta look at pot odds! Like the $15,000 you get. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

I was thinking about this, but is it really worth it?

jccookjr · #14 05-26-2005, 12:14 PM

Don't know the odds but I think it can be done.

the_joker · #15 05-26-2005, 01:14 PM

One more thing to add to Nick B's post. If the probability of winning an individual one is .1 (assuming you have 10% chance of winning) then the probability of winning 5 in a row is .1 ^ 5 = .00001 as Nick said. To figure out what your chances would be if you played x number of SNG's I think would be:

1 - (.99999 ^ x)

So say you plan on playing 500 SNG's to shoot for the bonus, then your chance on winning would be 1 - (.99999 ^ 500) = .005. To figure out the EV value would be something like .00001 * $15000 = $.15 over 5 SNG's. You could try posting this in the probability forum, but I think this analysis is reasonable.

crookedhat99 · #16 05-26-2005, 01:28 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Because if everything is equal then everyone loses to the rake. So your odds need to be better than 1 to 10.

[/ QUOTE ]

This has no relevance to one's chances of winning x sng's in a row.

The Yugoslavian · #17 05-26-2005, 06:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Pointless to think about.
1. No one plays the same
2. Who cares

[/ QUOTE ]

<font color="red">You're right, cleinen. I should not be playing this game b/c I have no idea how to do *very* simple math</font>

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

Yugoslav

igotBlackJak · #18 05-27-2005, 03:56 PM

i dunno about odds.. but i've done it... This topic was discussed in another longer post, but the reason this might be good is that you still win your tournament profits, so your not paying your entire buyins just for the bonus. Problem is these games might be flooded with better than normal players for these limits.

This is doable, the only problem is their software sucks sooo bad...

Enjoy and good luck