#1
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2 people flopping a set?
just looking of the odds in a 10 handed game, 4 way, of 2 people flopping a set.
thanks |
#2
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Re: 2 people flopping a set?
noone knows?
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#3
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Re: 2 people flopping a set?
chance of getting a pair 1/17 *1/17 = chance 2 people have pair preflop
multiply that by chance someone catches set squared.. wrap it! TH |
#4
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Re: 2 people flopping a set?
provided all 4 have pocket pairs?
If 2 people have pocket pairs, its somewhere around 1/100 of a chance. I think C(2,1) * C(2,1) * C(44,1) / C(48,3) = 1.01% |
#5
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Re: 2 people flopping a set?
yah i think thats correct too little more than 1% which means you should worry when you flop a set. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]
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#6
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Re: 2 people flopping a set?
You probably only care about the answer if you actually flopped one. So a more appropriate question might be, what is the probability that another player flops a set, given that I flopped one.
If two players both see the flop and both had pp preflop, and if the flopped cards are all of different rank the probability is 2/47 + (1 - 45/47)*2/46 = 8.42%. The probability that the opponent's set beats yours depends on how your set ranks w.r.t. the flopped cards. The probability that the oppenent flops a set (unconditional on him having pp preflop) depends on the probability of him having pp given that he sees the flop, which obviously depends a lot on his playing style, and could be anywhere between 6% and 100%. |
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