#1
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QQ autocall?
Read on Villian: All in or fold mode since level 1. Nobody has called him, so no idea of his open-pushing range from any position. He's pushed about 6-8 hands, mostly from LP, in around 50 opportunities. Fairly tight, I'd guess, based on frequency. He just pushed the last hand with multiple limpers, they all folded
Position: He's 3 to my right. I'm on the button Stack sizes: I have about 850-ish left out of 1000, he has me covered. Situation this hand: I have QQ, 4 limpers and he pushes. Blinds:25/50 I would have pushed, had it come around to me. Calling seems reasonable. Doesn't it? Do you assume that if a person pushess, say, 15% of the hands he's dealt that he's only pushing the top 15% of the possible combinations? I think QQ is ahead of that range...AA-TT, AKs-ATs, KQs-KTs, QJs, QTs, AK. Related question...Does anyone have a calculator for figuring win% of a specific hand against a 'Top X%' range of hands? Regards Gar |
#2
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Re: QQ autocall?
I think that since he just pushed the hand before that his range is probably tightened up a little from what you quoted (since he knows he's pissing people off), but nonetheless I think this is a profitable call with this type of player. Even if his range for this particular push is just AA-TT, AK-KQ it is still better odds than a coinflip by a decent amount.
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#3
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Re: QQ autocall?
There are two factors at play here.
1. Pusher is a complete maniac if he's been pushing that many hands and is.... 2. Looking to accumulate chips early in what will probably turn out to be a very long tournament. Based on the range of hands that he has been pushing, I'd say that you are ahead a vast majority of them, although I don't have exact stats, and I'd say that, because of #2, this would be an autocall. I think it's more than worth the risk this early in a tournament. |
#4
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Re: QQ autocall?
A dancing Black Mage from Final Fantasy as an avatar....classic
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#5
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Re: QQ autocall?
I think it's a call. The application you're looking for is pokerstove. Do a google search to find it.
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#6
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Re: QQ autocall?
Found it. Thank you!
Regards Gar |
#7
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Re: QQ autocall?
You need to call here. His range may have tightened up but that doesn't mean he has AA, KK or AK. He could make this move with JJ-TT or AQ-AT. He may even try it with lower pairs considering he's never been called.
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#8
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Re: QQ autocall?
easy call given your read on this player.
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#9
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Re: QQ autocall?
Very easy call considering villain's betting patterns. Are you going to wait until AA or KK to fight back?
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