#11
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
If he's a "rock" what two spades can he be playing? He obviously could have A/x spades, but Rocks don't generally play A/x because they get into too much trouble post flop.
Call. If you're beat, it's still a EV+ play in the long run imo. |
#12
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
[ QUOTE ]
If he's a "rock" what two spades can he be playing? He obviously could have A/x spades, but Rocks don't generally play A/x because they get into too much trouble post flop. Call. If you're beat, it's still a EV+ play in the long run imo. [/ QUOTE ] I think the point is he's loose preflop but he doesn't go to showdown without the nuts or near nuts. A 32/5 player easily plays Axs. Despite his stats, I think you have to go broke here since he could also have a set. |
#13
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
I don't think SD numbers are going to be very accurate, unless you have a sizeable sample against villain.
I don't know that I would, but I think you can fold here as long as you respect your opponent. All of the betting up to his turn raise screams flush for you and nut-flush for him. This, coupled with the K, Q, J and T being off the board, makes his having AXs much more likely. Plus, you are getting less than 3:2 to put your whole stack in. So, can't fault you for calling, pretty sure I would have, but a good case can be made for folding as well. |
#14
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
If that's the case then he could just as easily have suited connectors on the low side of it further validating the call.
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#15
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
Results?
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#16
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
I could see if Hero didn't also have the J, leaving that as a possibility for the villian, but since he has the K and the J, I just can't see calling here. Villian must realize Hero has a flush, and probably beats 9 high flush.
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#17
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Re: This is worth my whole stack, right?
Villian had Ax spades.
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