#1
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whats the math on this!!!!
5 player sng/ first hand /i am SB/ everyone folds/ battle of the blinds situation.
I bump it up 4x BB with Q8 offsuit to a guy named kingpokerxxx he calls me flop comes 3d Ks 8c.....I bet the pot well 150 A thought pops into my head a gr8 bluff right here would be to go all in on me..naw he dont have the balls, i raised him and he just called All of a sudden he is ALL-IN I think about it maybe he kind of slow played KK or was just calling with KQ-9....no way my instincts tell me this is a huge bluff a "macho i'm gunna take charge first hand" type move I call him purely cuz my instincts are screaming too....... YES he has 2c 6c!!! nothing at all..... I caught him with his hand in the cookie jar all the way down to the elbow!!!! FINAL BOARD 3d Ks 8c / 7c / Qc....RUNNER RUNNER FLUSH FOR THE BLUFF!!!! all i could do was laugh I made the right play I think. What do you think??? |
#2
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
ok
this needs to stop |
#3
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
I think the math on this is
C(10,2)/C(45/2) * 100 ~ 4.5% |
#4
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
[ QUOTE ]
I think the math on this is C(10,2)/C(45/2) * 100 ~ 4.5% [/ QUOTE ] You are too nice for your own good. -Gryph |
#5
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I think the math on this is C(10,2)/C(45/2) * 100 ~ 4.5% [/ QUOTE ] You are too nice for your own good. -Gryph [/ QUOTE ] lol thanks [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#6
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
You are close to the correct answer, but you are making it too complicated. A much easier view of this problem since all running clubs are live is to ask, what is the probability of a club AND another club. (prob of a turn club)-->(9/45) AND-->* (prob of a subsequent river club)-->(8/44) = (9/45) * (8/44) = ~3.6%
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#7
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
One club on the board, 2 in his opponents hand means there are 10 clubs left
(10/45)*(9/44)~ 4.5% or C(10,2)/C(45,2) ~ 4.5% |
#8
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Re: whats the math on this!!!!
cookie jars dont have elbows
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