tough decision

[cunningham22]

Party poker $10+1 sit n go...level 1 blinds 10/15

hero is kyleh681186

***** Hand History for Game 1967107304 *****
NL Hold'em $10 Buy-in + $1 Entry Fee Trny:11722307 Level:1 Blinds(10/15) - Thursday, April 28, 15:57:35 EDT 2005
Table Table 11211 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 4: pokeajoke77 ( $770 )
Seat 5: jt0691 ( $800 )
Seat 6: trivialstuff ( $800 )
Seat 7: heggedenmark ( $795 )
Seat 8: ronky ( $855 )
Seat 10: indynurse ( $790 )
Seat 1: OOgambler ( $815 )
Seat 2: KyleH681186 ( $775 ) <-HERO, CUTOFF
Seat 3: Muktiseed ( $1600 )
Trny:11722307 Level:1
Blinds(10/15)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to KyleH681186 [ K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ]
trivialstuff folds.
heggedenmark raises [70].
ronky folds.
indynurse calls [70].
OOgambler folds.
KyleH681186 raises [175].
Muktiseed is all-In [1600]
pokeajoke77 folds.
jt0691 folds.
heggedenmark is all-In [725]
indynurse folds.
Your time bank will become active in less than 20 seconds. If you do not want it to be used, please act now.
KyleH681186 folds.


Is this the correct fold? My assumption was that my AK, with 2 all ins, is probably drawing to less than 6 outs. I am not an expert on odds so I am not sure if a call i necessary with the pot size.

Results below in white:


* <font color="white"> </font> * Dealing Flop ** [ 3h, 8d, Jc ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 2c ]
** Dealing River ** [ Kc ]
heggedenmark shows [ 6c, 6s ] a pair of sixes.
Muktiseed shows [ Ac, Kd ] a pair of kings.
Muktiseed wins 805 chips from side pot #1 with a pair of kings.
Muktiseed wins 1860 chips from the main pot with a pair of kings.
heggedenmark finished in ninth place.
heggedenmark has left the table.

[jacks321]

If heggedenmark had folded, I would call this. AT an $11 there's a good chance you're dominating the first all-in raiser. Although, it's somewhat read dependent, what did he double up with before? As it is, I don't really want to be all in against 2 players with this hand, I would probably reluctantly fold.

[cunningham22]

on the third hand the cutoff pushed allin with JJ and beat AA...

[pergesu]

You made a standard raise, guy behind you makes a standard reraise, then some guy pushes and the initial raiser calls. You're absolute best shot is to be against two underpairs, or tied somewhere. And I don't like that shot with this action. Get the hell out.

[sweet72]

It's early why risk all your chips? You don't know how the others play, so it's hard to put them on a hand. You can almost gurantee that at least one has a pair. If you had gone all-in with the others and know what they had. The percentages would have looked like this: AK(S) 21.9% of winning, 66 - 59.8% of winning, AK (OS) 18.4 of winning.

Head to Head action on this...

Knowing the hand: 66 will beat AK(os) 55.4% of the time.

Good not to risk your chips.

[sweet72]

[ QUOTE ]
on the third hand the cutoff pushed allin with JJ and beat AA...

[/ QUOTE ]

The sun shined on this dog's ass. He would lose 80% of the time with this hand. Of course he has to know that the other guy has a better hand (which he doesn't).