Poekr Prophecy - Page 5

tech · #41 04-27-2005, 03:24 AM

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If you have the possibility to reach thousands of customers that you have specifically made a product for and it can be done thru a relatively easy manner could you afford to pass it up.

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Yes. There are tens of thousands of companies/people with poker-related materials to sell. Just think what it would be like if/when they all spam on Party.

tech · #42 04-27-2005, 03:41 AM

If you think you can get within a couple of % points accuracy after only 100 observations, you might want to break out that statistics book after all.

Blarg · #43 04-27-2005, 04:02 AM

They've got about 200 of my roughly 350 played, finally. But they're still off by a good ways. They show me as way more profitable than I am. Like, 25% more. Which is pretty huge.

prunch · #44 04-27-2005, 03:51 PM

is it any use? I was thinking of getting it?
could someone plaese tell me what my stats are on it ?thanks!

jccookjr · #45 04-27-2005, 03:57 PM

91 games, won 43(47.25%), lost 48 (52.75%).

EdgePort · #46 04-27-2005, 04:10 PM

I'm guessing you are pissing off more than that 10% and that you are risking party taking action against you. Enough complaints to party about the spam and they will do something about it. I know a number of people who have complained to them about it.

Slim Pickens · #47 04-27-2005, 04:24 PM

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So long as your sample is random (and i don't see how PP's sample could be anything BUT random) and your sample size is large enuff, you can generalize with a high degree of certainty to the whole.

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I can think of at least one good reason why the sampling error might be systematic rather than random.

Slim

Nicok7 · #48 04-27-2005, 04:56 PM

Could you state that reason for us? It would obviously make a great difference if the error was not random.

I suppose an the program wont catch as many games in the evening, when more people are logged on. Not sure if that makes a huge difference though.

prunch · #49 04-28-2005, 01:39 PM

thanks for the info

Freudian · #50 04-28-2005, 01:44 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Could you state that reason for us? It would obviously make a great difference if the error was not random.

I suppose an the program wont catch as many games in the evening, when more people are logged on. Not sure if that makes a huge difference though.

[/ QUOTE ]

As someone who always had too high win-% I guess what happens is this.

Their bot jumps in and out of games all the time and takes 'snapshots'. What happens if there are only 2 players left when there was 4-5 the last snapshot? If it constantly rates players too high, I would assume they are considering those 2-3 missing as wins instead of losses.