5/5 NL at foxwoods, big bluff on river

[Marginilizer]

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think he's folding that often getting 3-1.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agree. For villian to fold, he would have to believe you set up/two paired on the flop or turned the nut flush. KK wouldn't have smooth called $20 pre flop and quad 5s wouldn't make such a large bet on the river. Pocket 4s are a possibility, but I think you would have bet harder on the flop. K 4 and K 5 are unlikely if he views you as a tight player. Playing 4 5 for a raise is also unlikely, but I have done it before. There's no way you have pocket 3s. Overall, it would be hard putting you on a full house. If you hit nut flush on the turn, the move would have been to push all-in when he reraised you. Now the only question is how good is HIS flush? If he's got baby flush, maybe he lays it down. Jack high or better, you're getting called.

[Chaostracize]

Given the way hero played I think QQ, 44 and A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] X [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] are all very real possibilities.

[Marginilizer]

Meant to write QQ on that last post. Still think he's getting called by Jack high flush or better.