Bubble AK in SB

[cha59]

Full Tilt $11 two table sng, 5 players left, 5th place gets nothing.
Payout goes $72, $54, $36, $18.
Blinds 100/200
UTG (LAG) has about 3500t, raises to 800
CO (Loose, very aggressive) has about 8000t, raises to about 3000. The guy has been showing some kind of hand when he does show his cards.
Button folds (has about 4000 in stack)
SB Hero has about 4400t, playing tight aggressive, holding AK offsuit, looking at TAG in BB yet to act with about 7000t facing a raise and a reraise....
Hero????

[strelok]

Folds? AK is strong, but I think you want to be the first one in with it.

[J-Lo]

UTG 3500 <--- LAG
CO 8000 <--- LAG
button 4000
Hero-SB 4400 w/ AK
BB 7000

blinds 200-400

Top 4 get payed.

UTG raise to 800--> CO reraises to 3000---> button folds--> hero in SB w/ AK?

There this should be easier to read by all.

My analysis. Fold, you can find greater +$EV situations later.

[lastchance]

I call. They are laggy, right? SB has a range of hands you're over 50% against, plus the dead money?

So, I stop and go, and hope I can pick up the pot for nothing.

Bubbling's better than usual.

[tjh]

Bubble time and two LAGS are about to go to war !! SOunds like you are about to get ITM. Well 1/2 of the time assuming the short stack loses. So I would fold this although it might well be a winner. Letting them fight it out costs you nothing.

One factor to consider is the blind stealing environment. How do they respond to your big bets ? If the blinds are locked down then I would maybe force myself to play this. If these LAGS are donating the blinds to you then you lose nothing by waiting.

--
tjh