Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #7  
Old 04-18-2005, 10:52 AM
KeyToTheMint KeyToTheMint is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 40
Default Re: Question about poker droughts

If one is a good poker player they know it not because they win, but why they are winning. No one plays flawless poker, however
certain situations are fundamental. Seeing players in violation
of principles of poker is profitable for you no matter what happens. For example, lets say i am against 2 opponents on the turn. I bet and get called by both. The guy in last position is getting 6-1 for a gut shot, his only out, which
is obvious to him. If he calls he's an idiot assuming his implied odds are 8-1.
Now he might not know any better, but there are some people that have to call. They psychologically know its bad to call, but realize they will only lose 1 bet if they don't make it, and less than that in the long run. However if they get there and they didn't call, they
will now tilt and probably lose every chip in front of them. So they take the lesser of 2 evils: the bad turn call. Now, I see opponents make mistakes like this all the time. When I see my opponents make mistakes I don't make, I know im getting the money so long as i am playing under my bankroll,
regardless of what streak I have to endure. If you play a lot
you will have to endure lots of crazy streaks.

Look at these numbers, a good player earning 2.5BB/100 (less than 1BB per hour in a live game), with a standard deviation
of 16BB/100 (a typical number) has about a 1/908 chance of not showing a profit after 50,000 hands and he is a proven winner. Things like this scare me.
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:50 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.