80/160 GAME AT BELLAGIO

[Sqred]

I agree with tommy that there is a very high chance that you set is no good here. He makes a very valid point that a truly excellent player is more likely to go nine bets with a huge draw than a lower set. However, everyone gets out of line once in a while.

A very good player would realize he is beat and check raise the river as a bluff enough times to make a call in this spot profitable.

It is not only the player who got sucked out on who is attached to what is in the middle. Temporary insanity and lack of respect for the lower stakes and opposition could explain getting out of line with a set on the turn. "Excellent Player" status can explain a river checkraise if that is the only way to win the pot. A 160 investment to fold the best hand in a 4K plus pot doesnt have to succeed very often to be positive EV.

So call, lol. My two cents

FJM