Highest possible ITM%?

Reef · #1 04-03-2005, 06:53 PM

Say we have a ridiculously good professional player who has a 40% ITM for 200+15's. We send him down to play 10+1 SNG's. After a minimum of 300 of these, playing only 1 or 2 tables at a time, what is the highest realistic ITM% possible?

The Yugoslavian · #2 04-03-2005, 06:57 PM

Lorinda would have the best idea. I assume you're talking Party...that is a crucial bit of info, btw.

I'd guess 55%...but will defer to Lorinda's judgement no matter what on this question.

If you search well....you can find what Irie felt was the upper limit 1 tabling @ the $11s I believe...

Yugoslav
Oh, and this question is very irrelevent, btw...but it's cool, [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].

raptor517 · #3 04-03-2005, 07:00 PM

since its only over 300, and with good variance and all, i would say its around 53%. 3uo

AJo Go All In · #4 04-03-2005, 07:34 PM

posts like this bug so much. why do you care about ITM. ROI is the only thing that matters.

this is like asking "what's the highest possible win % at showdown?" who cares, why use some metric that is indirectly related to winrate when we actually have the winrate metric.

stupidsucker · #5 04-03-2005, 07:37 PM

300 is such a small sample that just about anyone could achieve a 60% ITM over a course of 300. Its not likely, but possible.

stupidsucker · #6 04-03-2005, 07:40 PM

[ QUOTE ]
posts like this bug so much. why do you care about ITM. ROI is the only thing that matters.

this is like asking "what's the highest possible win % at showdown?" who cares, why use some metric that is indirectly related to winrate when we actually have the winrate metric.

[/ QUOTE ]

When it comes to what you want in a game you WANT the ROI.. this is your paycheck.

ITM is a much better way to guage HOW your game is doing. You can be a large % more sure about your ITM than your roi. ROI is extremely variant.

ilya · #7 04-04-2005, 04:46 AM

[ QUOTE ]

ITM is a much better way to guage HOW your game is doing.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why?

Sure, your can be more sure about your ITM% than your ROI%. But your ITM inherently has a narrower range. Also, since you can be a winner at 23% ITM and a loser at 54% ITM, how much good does knowing your "real" ITM really do you? Maybe it'd be useful if you could assume that you ROI would move towards the "even 1-2-3 distribution" average for that ITM over the long run...but I don't at all see how you could assume that.

Reef · #8 04-04-2005, 04:17 AM

[ QUOTE ]
posts like this bug so much. why do you care about ITM. ROI is the only thing that matters.

[/ QUOTE ]

a lot because of this

I also heard a rumor that the #1 player on pokerprophecy after 300 games may win an '06 bid to the WSOP.

Skipbidder · #9 04-04-2005, 09:10 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
posts like this bug so much. why do you care about ITM. ROI is the only thing that matters.

[/ QUOTE ]

a lot because of this

I also heard a rumor that the #1 player on pokerprophecy after 300 games may win an '06 bid to the WSOP.

[/ QUOTE ]

The jackoff from poker prophecy has lied over and over again. Why should he start telling the truth now? I'd be reluctant to believe him right now if he told me what his favorite color was.

DonButtons · #10 04-04-2005, 05:10 AM

[ QUOTE ]
posts like this bug so much. why do you care about ITM. ROI is the only thing that matters.

this is like asking "what's the highest possible win % at showdown?" who cares, why use some metric that is indirectly related to winrate when we actually have the winrate metric.

[/ QUOTE ]

hey man, you should hit up the $200 sngs again...

nice to see you around, I learned a lot from watching your sngs back then when you were hitting them up nonstop.

and i cant forget the good times watching the movie "stripes" on tbs because you wouldn't steal my blinds one orbit [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]