#71
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Rest of the hand
Added from memory.
Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (9 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is UTG with T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. Hero raises, UTG+1 calls, 1 fold, MP2 calls, 2 folds, Button 3-bets, 2 folds, Hero calls, UTG+1 calls, MP2 calls. Flop: (13.50 SB) 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (4 players) Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP2 checks, Button bets, Hero raises, UTG+1 folds, MP2 folds, Button calls. Turn is a blank, I bet, button folds. AK/AQ/AJ/KQ were getting the odds to call. |
#72
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Re: Give me a frop line
[ QUOTE ]
Is all this because of "Team America: World Police"? [/ QUOTE ] Josh started using frush and crubs so I like taking things too far. |
#73
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Re: Give me a frop line
Where can I find an English translation of these poker terms? What's a "Frop"?
I'd say bet; you're ahead, but only slightly. If you give everyone a free ride by checking and a picture card, spade or Ace hits the turn, you're history, no? Better to give other people a reason to fold a marginal holding rather than stay around to beat you. |
#74
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Re: Give me a frop line
[ QUOTE ]
I figure it's close to 50% the button has a higher pair than I do given that he's a TA, it was 2 bets to him, and he raised. If he doesn't have a higher pair, he probably has AK or AKs. If I check and it gets checked through to him he will bet and I still won't know what he has. However, if I check raise I might get the pot to heads up and it's probably 50-50 that I am ahead under than scenario (unless of course he makes 3 bets). Heads up with a 50% chance of winning for these pot odds would be a good thing. This line looks OK. If I bet out, I "might" eliminate 1 or both of the other players anyway, but I can't be certain. If the villian calls, I figure I have him beat and can keep betting out. If he raises, he's probably got a better pair and I should head to exits with so few outs - which would save me some money 50% of the time. I think the first line is better. However, if I thought I could knock out the other 2 players for a single bet, I might prefer the 2nd line. If I use the check line with the intention of check-raising and one of the other players bets, I think I am kind of lost unless the button raises (then I can fold). However, if he doesn't raise I have a tough decision because I probably have the button beat, but I really don't where I am. There's probably a real lot of draws out there than can beat me. [/ QUOTE ] How do you estimate the 50%? Is it the number of hands you beat out of the total number of possible hands villain might 3-bet with? So: AA (6 ways) KK (6 ways) QQ (6 ways) JJ (6 ways) (24 beats) TT (1 way) AK (28 ways) (29 wins/splits) It seems that if you assume a TAG villain would 3-bet w/ AQ that adds another 28 wins, so you might be better than 50%? (57 possible wins out of 81 possible hand combinations = 70%?) Am I doing the math right here? |
#75
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Re: Give me a frop line
I'm going to guess check/raise forcing two-bets on UTG+1 and MP2. Try to get it heads up with Button.
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#76
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Re: Give me a frop line
check the flop, call a bet from teh button. I think im waiting for the turn to c/r. This also makes sense because your equity on the turn will be a lot higher if a safe card comes, this is when you face the field with 2 cold to drive them out.
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#77
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Re: Give me a frop line
Any AK is 16 hands.
Any AQ is 16, but AQs (4) is more likely. I wasn't trying to be exact because everyone has slightly different standards. I was just using a round number. Sorry if it came off as an exact calculation. |
#78
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Re: Give me a frop line
[ QUOTE ]
Any AK is 16 hands. Any AQ is 16, but AQs (4) is more likely. I wasn't trying to be exact because everyone has slightly different standards. I was just using a round number. Sorry if it came off as an exact calculation. [/ QUOTE ] It didn't come off as exact, I just wanted to see if I understood the concept of how to estimate. Yep, 16 combos not 28, my bad. So, 24 bad, 21-30ish good = approx 50/50. Got it, thanks. |
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