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  #11  
Old 02-28-2005, 03:22 PM
djoyce003 djoyce003 is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

You didn't get owned that badly. There are a lot of times this clown will have a raggedy two pair or a set as well. At the time you didn't know he was an idiot...and it's a marginal call. Slightly +EV probably to call here, but only slightly I think. You can almost always find a better spot here to get your money in....hell i have them raising my nut flush all the time on party, so unless I know the guy sucks, I go ahead and fold this at least some of the time.
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  #12  
Old 02-28-2005, 04:45 PM
TheWorstPlayer TheWorstPlayer is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

[ QUOTE ]
You didn't get owned that badly. There are a lot of times this clown will have a raggedy two pair or a set as well. At the time you didn't know he was an idiot...and it's a marginal call. Slightly +EV probably to call here, but only slightly I think. You can almost always find a better spot here to get your money in....hell i have them raising my nut flush all the time on party, so unless I know the guy sucks, I go ahead and fold this at least some of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]
This is nuts. First of all, there is no 'better time' logic even applicable to this situation. This is not a tournament. There are no limited times. Second of all, this guys is certainly busting out in the next five minutes so there will likely be no other times to take his money. Third of all, this is a very very easy call. You are ahead here 90% of the time at least.
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  #13  
Old 02-28-2005, 04:55 PM
djoyce003 djoyce003 is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

Oh come on. I posted a similar hand on here under "how bad was this call" the difference being AK here and AQ in mine. The general concensus was that it was probably right to call, but it's marginal. If you think this push by the fish doesn't mean two pair or a set more than 10% of the time then you are insane. In my experience it's more like 50/50 that you are ahead with this ace...nowhere even CLOSE to 90/10. Not sure what you were smoking, but would have loved your feedback on my hand post rather than lurking and then picking on my post here.
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  #14  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:07 PM
TheWorstPlayer TheWorstPlayer is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

[ QUOTE ]
Oh come on. I posted a similar hand on here under "how bad was this call" the difference being AK here and AQ in mine. The general concensus was that it was probably right to call, but it's marginal. If you think this push by the fish doesn't mean two pair or a set more than 10% of the time then you are insane. In my experience it's more like 50/50 that you are ahead with this ace...nowhere even CLOSE to 90/10. Not sure what you were smoking, but would have loved your feedback on my hand post rather than lurking and then picking on my post here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Wow, never thought I'd be accused of lurking. I guess my ~2K posts in the last few months haven't been enough. I'll try to fix that. In any case, this hand is VERY different from your hand, man. Here are the main differences I see:
1. This villain is short stacked. Shows he's an idiot.
2. This villain is OPEN PUSHING, not raising your flop bet. This is a HUGE difference. People who open push in front of the preflop raiser are almost always trying to steal or thinking that there TP is good regardless of kicker. It is the mentality of "I have nothing, but this guy probably didn't hit the ace" or "Wow, I hit my miracle ace with my A5o, I'm SO excited!"

I am 90% certain the you are ahead here >80% of the time. If you don't believe me, or you play in different games from me, fine. But in my games, you are giving up a lot of money by not calling here with TPTK.
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  #15  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:16 PM
djoyce003 djoyce003 is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

fair enough...I think the number is less than 90 but probably more than 50. Probably just selective memory on my part but I can remember them having some insane 2 pair here a significant amount of the time at least...i agree that he has to call here....but shouldn't be surprised to be beat.
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  #16  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:25 PM
aces_full aces_full is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Oh come on. I posted a similar hand on here under "how bad was this call" the difference being AK here and AQ in mine. The general concensus was that it was probably right to call, but it's marginal. If you think this push by the fish doesn't mean two pair or a set more than 10% of the time then you are insane. In my experience it's more like 50/50 that you are ahead with this ace...nowhere even CLOSE to 90/10. Not sure what you were smoking, but would have loved your feedback on my hand post rather than lurking and then picking on my post here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Wow, never thought I'd be accused of lurking. I guess my ~2K posts in the last few months haven't been enough. I'll try to fix that. In any case, this hand is VERY different from your hand, man. Here are the main differences I see:
1. This villain is short stacked. Shows he's an idiot.
2. This villain is OPEN PUSHING, not raising your flop bet. This is a HUGE difference. People who open push in front of the preflop raiser are almost always trying to steal or thinking that there TP is good regardless of kicker. It is the mentality of "I have nothing, but this guy probably didn't hit the ace" or "Wow, I hit my miracle ace with my A5o, I'm SO excited!"

I am 90% certain the you are ahead here >80% of the time. If you don't believe me, or you play in different games from me, fine. But in my games, you are giving up a lot of money by not calling here with TPTK.

[/ QUOTE ]


I agree here on points 1 and 2 based on three recent hands I played at PS .25/.50 NL. In all 3 cases villain was in EP and short stacked in a pot I raised.

First hand I raise from button with 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and only one limper in MP. BB calls,MP limper calls. Flop is k-rag-rag. BB insta-pushes,MP calls, I of course have nothing and I fold. BB shows KT offsuit for TP/marginal kicker.

Second hand I am in MP with QQ. I make it $2.50 to go and I end up in the middle with one caller behind and UTG limp calling. Flop is A high and UTG pushes. Of coure my QQ is surely no good and there is still a player to act behind me so I fold. The other player behind me calls. UTG shows A4 offsuit-once again top pair/no kicker.

Third time I have AA and get two callers again. The flop is all low cards with two spades. The first player in pushes his remaining $15 into a $9 pot. This time I call and unfortunatley I doubled him up. He called my raise from EP with J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] and had nothing but a draw on the flop.

Based on my experience, if a short stack open pushes on the flop he's either got top pair/no kicker top pair/good kicker (with top pair being less than A or K, like he called with QJ and hits a J high flop) or a draw. I think it's when they check-raise you all in or smooth call on a drawless board you need to worry about.
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  #17  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:29 PM
Yeti Yeti is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

With regards to the original post, if you're folding this then you really shouldn't be playing on Party.
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  #18  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:31 PM
cookperson cookperson is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

Call, call amillion times call. One thing I did wrong when I first started playing(and i think this applies to the majority of us), is anytime I had a very good hand like this, but someone bet like your villian did.i would automically assume he had the best hand possible, and go out like you did. But I have learned since then that you are probalby dominating him in this hand. The bottom line is you don't want to play scared poker, you will get beaten occasionally with a hand like this, but most of the time win them.
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  #19  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:40 PM
lasseter lasseter is offline
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Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

To some extent it is selective memory. From a psychological standpoint you remember the odd/startling/I don't believe that [censored] happened to ME moment more than the mundane. You always remember the time your nut flush lost to the straight flush, or the time your TPTK with aces lost to the fish who raised with 2-7o. I don't really remember the times my top pair with kicker won, because I legitimately expect that to happen, it was not startling.

Sorry I digress, studied psych in college and love it when something I learned in school actually pans out as true.

lasseter
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  #20  
Old 02-28-2005, 05:55 PM
fimbulwinter fimbulwinter is offline
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Posts: 317
Default Re: wtf... what do you guys do here?

[ QUOTE ]
Call in an instant.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed 100%

fim
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