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#1
02-23-2005, 11:16 PM
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Is the end nigh?
I've had a terrible week. Actually, I've had a terrible last 4 weeks. I mutli-table 5/10 games at Party. Over the last year and a half, which includes over 1 million hands, I have posted a 1.5 BB per 100 winrate. Not fantastic, but when you multi-table as much as I do, its servicable. Over the last 4 weeks, and almost 200,000 hands, my winrate has been just over 0.5 BB per 100. The last 2 weeks have been especially terrible: nearly 90,000 hands, winrate of 0.3 per 100.
I've had alot of bad luck the last couple weeks, sure. But can I attribute my atrocious results over the last 4 weeks and 200,000 hands to mere bad luck? I'm worried that the more realistic explanation is that my competition has improved. Granted, I think the general poker playing public are just as dense as they always were. The concern is that more and more people like myself are doing this fulltime, playing 8 or more tables at a time. The result would be a diminishing in the profit margin for everyone. I have believed for some time that this would eventually happen, but I was hoping I'd get at least another year outta this before the game became entirely unprofitable. Could it be happening now or is my doom-saying premature? 
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#3
02-23-2005, 11:24 PM
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Re: Is the end nigh?
Nothing personal, but I think there is a much better chance you have let your game slip, or have gotten into some bad habits, than the competition has gotten that much better so recently. I'm sure bad luck has something to do with it too, but I can't see a fall like that being completely due to other people's improvement.
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#4
02-23-2005, 11:31 PM
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Re: Is the end nigh?
i was thinking the end may have been nigh but in the last week things have improved - as i recall i had a rough time last January and early Feb too - maybe its a seasonal thing.
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#5
02-23-2005, 11:37 PM
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Re: Is the end nigh?
[ QUOTE ]
how the hell do you play 200k hands in a month? [/ QUOTE ] Don't think it's possible. Even if he plays 70 hours a week(which is very doubtful), he'd still have to average 700 hands per hour. So he's 12-tabling for 70 hours a week? No way.
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#6
02-23-2005, 11:44 PM
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Re: Is the end nigh?
[ QUOTE ]
how the hell do you play 200k hands in a month? [/ QUOTE ] Um... 200k/month = 50k/wk = 7k/day = 500/hr playing 14 hours per day. Obviously he's ten-tabling 14 hours a day, seven days a week. Or seven hours a day, twenty-tabling. Simple.
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#7
02-23-2005, 11:49 PM
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Re: Is the end nigh?
16 tables x 7 hours
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#9
02-23-2005, 11:59 PM
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Re: Is the end nigh?
I call bull on the 200k hands in a month.
And bull on the 16 tables as well. No way you 16-tabled for 200 hours last month. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]
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