#1
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Evaluate this bet
Giants, Padres, or Dodgers win NL West at a little better than 1-10 odds with juice.
Do the Rockies and Dianondbacks win this division 10% of the time? |
#2
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Re: Evaluate this bet
-EV
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#3
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Re: Evaluate this bet
[ QUOTE ]
-EV [/ QUOTE ] Wow. I am sure that is the type of profound insight that the original poster was looking for. Can you provide us with some more pearls of wisdom? To the original poster -- it is probably close. There might be a little value there, but the downside of having to have money tied up all season long is what makes it unattractive to me. Good luck. Hope it hits for you. |
#4
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Re: Evaluate this bet
[ QUOTE ]
Giants, Padres, or Dodgers win NL West at a little better than 1-10 odds with juice. Do the Rockies and Dianondbacks win this division 10% of the time? [/ QUOTE ] I would pass: Rocks and D-Backs will be 4 and 5 after the dust settles. For either one of them to win, they have to have A LOT of elements come together perfectly. NOW, the problem is tying the money up. I have a credit account at the 'Nuckle. I believe I can get some value out of these bdts because I don't have to front the money. A lot of value evaporates when you have to front the cash for 7 to 8 months. You can find many investments that have a greater chance of paying off at better than 10% during that time. For example. Poker. You are a very good player, thus, your expectation would be over 10% for that time period. I wouldn't make the bet if I were you. |
#5
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Re: Evaluate this bet
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] -EV [/ QUOTE ] To the original poster -- it is probably close. There might be a little value there, but the downside of having to have money tied up all season long is what makes it unattractive to me. Good luck. Hope it hits for you. [/ QUOTE ] This is at Trade Sports so I don't have to tie the money up for that length. Does this bet look more attractive now? |
#6
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Re: Evaluate this bet
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] -EV [/ QUOTE ] To the original poster -- it is probably close. There might be a little value there, but the downside of having to have money tied up all season long is what makes it unattractive to me. Good luck. Hope it hits for you. [/ QUOTE ] This is at Trade Sports so I don't have to tie the money up for that length. Does this bet look more attractive now? [/ QUOTE ] can you explain to me what this means? |
#7
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Re: Evaluate this bet
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] -EV [/ QUOTE ] To the original poster -- it is probably close. There might be a little value there, but the downside of having to have money tied up all season long is what makes it unattractive to me. Good luck. Hope it hits for you. [/ QUOTE ] This is at Trade Sports so I don't have to tie the money up for that length. Does this bet look more attractive now? [/ QUOTE ] can you explain to me what this means? [/ QUOTE ] AT Trade Sports betting is done like the stock market where you buy a team at a price and can sell them whenever you want. So I can buy the Padres, Dodgers, and Giants to win their division for under $90 combined. Winning contracts make $100 but as the value fluctuates I can can sell them anytime if I wish. As Colorado and the Diamondbacks fall out of contention my 3 stocks/wagers will go up. Bottom line is 1-10 on this bet with the ability to turn a profit sooner. |
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