Beware False Reads (pt related, no real hand content)

[itsmesteve]

So after about 20 hands, the CO is a "rock" 8/4/0 and MP2 is a LA-P 88/6/.6.

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls.

arguably a loose call given Co's stats . . .

Flop: (10.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Button folds, Hero calls, MP2 calls, MP3 folds.

I'll take one off w/ about 3 outs figuring the 2sb are easy enough to make up, should i hit.

Turn: (6.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero folds, MP2 calls.

gettting out of dodge.


River: (8.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, MP2 calls.

Final Pot: 10.75 BB


Results below:
MP2 has Kd 5c (three of a kind, jacks).
CO has Qc Th (three of a kind, jacks).
Outcome: MP2 wins 10.75 BB.

WTF??!??!??

Turns out that CO has never yet called in a hand w/ me- therefore the fact that he bets 20% of the time, folds 40% and checks 40% on the flop and bets 100% on both turn and river in the few hands i've played with him is not reflected in his aggression- good ol' division by zero!!

just an fyi i guess, i'm gonna have to pay closer attention to the players at my tables and not rely so heavily on pt and gametime +.

[davelin]

[ QUOTE ]
So after about 20 hands, the CO is a "rock" 8/4/0 and MP2 is a LA-P 88/6/.6.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't based your reads off the stats of 20 hands. This should be straightforward...

[Isura]

VP I look at after about 30 hands, PFR after 50. The others I don't even consider until atleast 100 hands.

[Nick Royale]

Very easy pf fold.

EDIT: Oh, sorry. Didn't realize you were in BB. After only 20 hands you can't use your PT-stats anyways...