#11
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Re: Bankroll requirements for PP STT\'s
I think part of the problem here is that some of the posters keep forgetting that these projections all have an assumption in them that the "player" will continue to play at the same "skill level" ( Not buy-in level) into the future. This is what causes the difference between what the stat guys project and what the "winning posters" warn about when relying on statistics. ( I'm sure someone has already explained this in excruciating detail in the archives given some of the insightful posts I've read during my first two weeks here) To put it simply you cannot rely on past performance in poker like you can rely on the dice in Craps. So if we were robots the stat guys would be right, but were not so I will side with the more experienced players and their insight. And if you want to further complicate the analysis, the skill level of the other players that you play against on average also varies( i.e the $11 players may get better or worse as group and/or adapt to your style of play making it less profitable). Remember, the statistics cannot predict the future they can only make assumptions about it. See the robot analogy above. So this is another point that says LISTEN to the "long-term winning players" when they say that 200 SNGs is a low number. As far as bankroll, listen to the winning posters (30-50 Units) and don't worry so much about the statistics. Also, I agree with Aleo. The stats people on this sight do know their stuff. |
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