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#1
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what would you guys have done with this hand?
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Button folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, CO calls, UTG+1 calls. Turn: (10.75 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, UTG+1 calls, Hero folds. |
#2
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Good fold, I really don't see how you're still ahead here. Best case scenario you're beating a fool and behind 2 pair, drawing to 8 outs. However, I think you're more likely behind a set or drawing dead to a straight.
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#3
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I think I would still get to a showdown. I've had situations like these where some clown comes alive on the turn trying to steal the pot when a scare card hits. I think UTG+1 has something like JT and is scared CO has a straight.
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#4
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At the point you fold, there's almost 16BB in the pot. You're drawing dead if somebody has the straight already, and it's possible the A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] is tainted by the flush. So, that isn't enough reason to call. You have to have some chance that you're still ahead, and I don't think you have it.
I think the fold is ok. If anybody agrees with my tight-weak analysis, do you think hero should fold to the FIRST bet on the turn? (He had even worse odds there.) -Sam |
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