#11
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Re: Exact HU probabilities
[ QUOTE ]
From PokerStove: Hand 1: 54.9353 % [ 00.55 00.00 ] { Kh4c } Hand 2: 45.0647 % [ 00.45 00.00 ] { 9d8h } --- Hand 1: 54.9351 % [ 00.55 00.00 ] { Kh4c } Hand 2: 45.0649 % [ 00.45 00.00 ] { 9h8d } The difference is, I believe, 5 diamonds all larger than 8/9 and excluding hands that require the 8/9 for the straight flush. Also some straight flushes in hearts differ. [/ QUOTE ] If I ever end up in a situation where I will fold if I am a 1.21903 to 1 dog but call if I am a 1.21902 to 1 dog, I will stop calling these two situations identical. Until then, I stand by my statement that there are really only 4 outcomes that need to be simulated for this match up. However, I concede that the difference between Kh4c vs. Qh5s and Kh4c vs. Qs5h might be significant enough to consider all 7 possibilities when simulating (but I doubt it will be that interesting). |
#12
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Re: Exact HU probabilities
[ QUOTE ]
If I ever end up in a situation where I will fold if I am a 1.21903 to 1 dog but call if I am a 1.21902 to 1 dog, I will stop calling these two situations identical. [/ QUOTE ] Well, duh. The reason I want the exact values is that I look into simulations and algebraic solutions to specific situations where any errors are compounded. (Plus, as you noted, even though it doesn't matter in this case, it does matter in other cases and it's not reasonable to go throught them by hand and guess if each case is one that matters or not.) Anyway, I did receive the full spreadsheet, som I'm very happy now. |
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