2nd Nuts with Big Draw on the Turn

BonJoviJones · #1 10-30-2004, 01:15 PM

MP2 is aggressive, but not crazy-so.

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero calls, UTG+1 calls, 2 folds, MP2 calls, 1 fold, CO calls, Button raises, 1 fold, Hero calls, UTG+1 calls, MP2 calls, CO calls.

Flop: (11.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (6 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP2 bets, CO calls, Button folds, Hero calls, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: (7.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (4 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets, CO calls, Hero raises, MP2 3-bets, CO folds, Hero caps, MP2 calls.

River: (16.25 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, MP2 raises, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 20.25 BB

Bet the flop? How do you like the turn cap? Three-bet the river?

Entity · #2 10-30-2004, 01:22 PM

With one caller trapped in between and no scary preflop action, I probably raise this flop.

Turn looks nice; I 3-bet the river almost all the time. Seems like he's got AT and backed his way into a straight; I think you're good here more than 55% of the time.

Rob

btspider · #3 10-30-2004, 01:29 PM

I don't think AT 3-bets the turn with a flush out there. Also, this isn't a 55% situation.. its a 2 in 3 situation.

the flop check is not good. the button is the likely flop bettor and is to your immediate right. bet and 3-bet the flop. with the check, the call is fine with an aggressive opponent behind you. it sets up a check-call on the turn if you are still drawing or:

the turn check-raise is fine.. risk/reward.. but you said he's aggressive.

the river is probably close. he will cap with the nuts and if he has put you on a hand, it is the flush after the action. if he's mindlessly aggressive, 3-bet away. i think i would just call given that he isn't afraid of your turn check-raise-cap. he has the nuts.

Entity · #4 10-30-2004, 01:32 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I don't think AT 3-bets the turn with a flush out there. Also, this isn't a 55% situation.. its a 2 in 3 situation.

the flop check is not good. the button is the likely flop bettor and is to your immediate right. bet and 3-bet the flop. with the check, the call is fine with an aggressive opponent behind you. it sets up a check-call on the turn if you are still drawing or:

the turn check-raise is fine.. risk/reward.. but you said he's aggressive.

the river is probably close. he will cap with the nuts and if he has put you on a hand, it is the flush after the action. if he's mindlessly aggressive, 3-bet away. i think i would just call given the turn check-raise-cap. he has the nuts.

[/ QUOTE ]
You're right about the 2 in 3 situation.

I think at these limits, AT will raise this turn and river, even with the flush out there, quite often, as will KT (for obvious reasons).

You're also right about the flop check/call, which was bad. This is an ideal flop for pumping a big draw. My bad (misread flop action).

Rob