Monday night, Ravens/Chiefs, If trends continue...aayyyyyy...

[babigm]

Yeah, I think that has some merit, but I think there were reasons to take the Chiefs other then public opinion. I'm pretty satisfied with my analysis above, hopefully I can be that successful with my other picks.

In this very thread, where I said I thought the Ravens defense lives more by reputation then what the numbers show, people were still talking about their superb defense. I think it's important to know what the conventional wisdom is, see how the number is adjusted for that, and adjust your picks. It may still be for the popular pick, it may be against, but I think you have to almost play devil's advocate with yourself to make sure your pick is solid instead of just popular.

[jedinite]

[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, I think that has some merit, but I think there were reasons to take the Chiefs other then public opinion.

[/ QUOTE ]

I most certainly did as well - check my three paragraph analysis of why KC would win a couple posts up.

I was talking about public perception re: the over/under, not in regards to the game itself.

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