The Value of Confusion--KQo

[W. Deranged]

Someone made a post the other day about the value of using the true donk-bet (check-call flop, lead turn, as opposed to the stop and go) for the primary purpose of confusing your opponent into calling down when you have a very big but very obvious hand. I thought this was a nice example. All critique welcome.

The button appears pretty rocky but pretty weak (16/6/.9).

The pre-flop cold-caller is pretty fishy but not overwhelmingly so.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Deranged is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Deranged raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Pretty Fishy calls, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333"> Pretty Weak 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Deranged calls, Pretty Fishy calls.

Flop: (10.40 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Deranged checks, Pretty Fishy checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pretty Weak bets</font>, Deranged calls, Pretty Fishy calls.

Turn: (6.70 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Deranged bets</font>, Pretty Fishy folds, Pretty Weak calls.

River: (8.70 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Deranged bets</font>, Pretty Weak calls.

Final Pot: 10.70 BB

P.S. Interesting question: What is the minimum aggression your opponent must have to make a river sexy better than betting out here? I figured with such a rocky villain betting was clearly better.