Why do we win ??

[tjh]

This thread about 45 extra chips and using ICM to calculate increase in ROI
LINK

Lead to a reply by Lorinda that looked something like this.

[ QUOTE ]

Most of our edge comes from bubble play.

45 chips doesn't help with Folding Equity to the tune of 5% ROI
.....
This is the major flaw.
Lori


[/ QUOTE ]

Does most of our edge come from bubble play ??

It seems to me that most of our edge comes from being tight early. I'll admit that it is not much of an ego booster to think that we win tournies just by folding for 20 minutes but I actually think that it is true.

Most of our edge comes from being foldbots for three levels.

By the bubble there are 4 players left. Our max ROI over many games is less than 25%. I do not have figures on average ITM. So the long term players can add their input.

I really think our edge comes from laying low until it is a four five or six player game. The remaining players are either tight or lucky and when we get aggressive we have an edge against both the tight and the lucky. As long as the lucky are stupid.

It may seem like our advantage is skilled bubble play but I think the fact that we make it to more bubbles is edge enough.

Thoughts, flames ?? Hard data or analysis to support or disprove [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]