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#1
11-09-2005, 05:45 PM
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River re-raise bluff.
Villian (SB) is 19/5.5 and seems solid. I have a note that says "may induce bluffs" if that helps. I have been pretty aggressive pre-flop so far, and have taken alot of pots pre-flop. Hero is dealt J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] UTG+1. Effective stacks $209.
NL200 6-max Pre-flop 1 folds, Hero raises to $8, 2 folds, SB calls, BB folds. Flop ($17) T [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players) SB checks, Hero bets $14, SB calls Turn ($43) 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players) SB checks, Hero checks River ($43) K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players) SB bets $25, hero raises to $75. Thoughts? 
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#3
11-09-2005, 05:52 PM
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Re: River re-raise bluff.
Your folding everything but the Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (maybe J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]) and boats. I'll let a math expert expound how often this move has to be successful to be profitable, but it looks like villain is scared as well so why not, it's only money [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#4
11-09-2005, 06:00 PM
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Re: River re-raise bluff.
[ QUOTE ]
Your folding everything but the Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (maybe J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]) and boats. I'll let a math expert expound how often this move has to be successful to be profitable, but it looks like villain is scared as well so why not, it's only money [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] I dont think he looks scared at all, he made a decent bet. I also dont like the bluff.
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#5
11-09-2005, 06:45 PM
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Re: River re-raise bluff.
putting up $75 to win $68. you need to be right over half the time.
I would feel more comfortable making this bluff if he bet the turn and checked the river. As is, I wouldn't make this bluff, I wouldn't even think of it to tell you the truth. But that doesn't mean it's a bad play. Still, this spot is marginal at best.
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#7
11-10-2005, 12:31 AM
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Question
If the turn were the 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] instead of the board pairing 6 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], would that change your view of the play?
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#8
11-10-2005, 12:43 AM
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Re: River re-raise bluff.
It looks a lot like a blocking bet from a high ace. He's probably folding AQ, AJ, and maybe even AK to a raise. The only reasonable hands that he can have that he would call with are TT, AQ[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], QQ[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], and JJ[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], and that's only a small percentage of his hand range, so I like your raise.
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#9
11-10-2005, 05:53 AM
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Results
Anyway, he pretty much insta-folded.
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Linear Mode
