Aces vs an all in river bet

[xorbie]

Looks more like 89 to me than a busted flush. I guess we're both off, but I wouldn't call this without having a kick ass read.

[sourbeaver]

yeah I thought 89 also, since he raised so little preflop compared to stack sizes

[warlockjd]

w.o a read, 1 pair no goot

[perfectm]

With a flop like that you are hoping he has A10, and his leading bet would give credit to that idea. And calling your raise even. But when a 3 comes down on the turn and he checks , I stop thinking he has TPTK.

Your bet on the turn was small, but its pretty obvious it didn't help him. Like someone else said push on the turn, and spare yourself the decision to be made when the J comes on the river.

[BeerMoney]

NLSoldier,

I think when we put him on the busted flush draw, we're "putting him on a hand we can beat." My first guess here was JT, or the busted draw.

I think what you have to realize is that you've shown a lot of strength in this hand, and as far as your opponent is concerned, you aren't folding. I think when you raise him on the flop, and make the bet on the turn, I think he realizes you mean business. When he comes out betting on the river, you're only beating a few hands : a bluff, and some smaller pair like queens or kings, that you would have already heard from. All you have here is an overpair.

That's my analysis, but I suck at NL/PL games.

BeerMoney.

[Jon34]

Is JT a consideration?