I need a plan - AA 200NL

[CryptoManiac]

SB has just sat down and this is his second hand so I have no read on him at all.

Whats my plan here?

Seat 1: UTG ($200.75 in chips)
Seat 2: CO ($255.50 in chips)
Seat 4: BTN ($81.75 in chips)
Seat 5: SB ($196 in chips)
Seat 6: BB ($57.88 in chips)
SB: posts small blind $1
BBs: posts big blind $2
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to UTG [A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]]
UTG: raises to $7
CO: folds
BTN: calls $7
SB: calls $6
BB: folds
----- FLOP ----- [5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]]
SB: bets $2
UTG: raises to $22
BTN: folds
SB: raises to $42
UTG: ???

This is a tough spot to be in without reads. I suggest atleast getting poker tracker / player view for the poker / tracker / player view numbers if you are going to play without reads.

A few thoughts : He is almost certainly not on a draw, so he either has a king or a set. You should almost never be three betting here, so it's call or fold, and then check raise, check fold or lead the turn big.

This really depends on how this player plays a king. At the $200 stage you don't want to get stacked with one pair while holding a full stack.

[emil3000]

I probably get stacked with AA here, and I do it on the turn or river. Threebetting flop is not good.

With no read I count on the idiot factor.

[mustardo]

Unless I've seen him doing this before with tpt/gk v preflop raiser I'm folding this everytime. Small lead followed by min reraise is virtually always a monster.

[ QUOTE ]
Unless I've seen him doing this before with tpt/gk v preflop raiser I'm folding this everytime. Small lead followed by min reraise is virtually always a monster.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah its like when they minbet the flop and turn and then fullpot/push the river on a random rag... fvcking donkeys.

[J Chap]

One last small thing to consider: He just sat down, so not only do you have no reads on him, he also has no reads on you.

That, IMO, adds about 3-4 drops to the scariness of his min-raise.

He is either drunk or fearless.

[CryptoManiac]

[ QUOTE ]
I probably get stacked with AA here, and I do it on the turn or river. Threebetting flop is not good.

[/ QUOTE ]

Can you explain why three betting is bad? Presumably because we are giving worse hands and opportunity to fold?

[ QUOTE ]
With no read I count on the idiot factor.

[/ QUOTE ]

I normally go the other way and assume them to be reasonable until I have evidence to suggest otherwise. What's the general thought here?

[emil3000]

Minbet three bet means he's an idiot. Seriously, very sensitive test.

[4_2_it]

Call the flop and push any non-K turn.

[beavens]

i like 4_2's line.