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#1
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My first HUSH post
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter
UTG had vpip/prf/agr/hands of about 62/0/0.4/150 SB was 48/12/0.8/60 Comments on any street welcome, in particular the waiting until the turn thing and the river fold. Preflop: ASSMASTER is MP with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">ASSMASTER raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls. Flop: (7 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, UTG calls, ASSMASTER calls. Turn: (5 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">ASSMASTER raises</font>, SB calls, UTG calls. River: (11 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">ASSMASTER bets</font>, SB calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, ASSMASTER folds, SB calls. Final Pot: 16 BB |
#2
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Re: My first HUSH post
Raise flop, u want a free card if next flushcard hits (or were u planning on folding if turn was flushcard? to weak?).
Bet turn and if raised fold. Good fold on river, no chance u are ahead. |
#3
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Re: My first HUSH post
Don't play 1/2 6 max if you fold so easily with a decent hand and huge pot odds at the river. You will be crashed.
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#4
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Re: My first HUSH post
Thanks for your reply.
Your point that it is generally a bad idea to fold for one bet in a big pot with a decent hand in a game that is typically filled with aggressive players is well-taken. However, let's look at this specific situation. UTG, with an AF of 0.4 after 150 hands, check-raises the river against two opponents who had each already put one bet into the pot. Given that along with the flush and straight possibilities on board, what % of the time do you think my top pair is good here? |
#5
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Re: My first HUSH post
Your hand only needs to be good here 1 in 15 times, which it definitely will be. There's just no way that you don't have the odds for this call.
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#6
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Re: My first HUSH post
Are you basically saying there's at least a 1/15 chance that UTG is just being stupid?
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#7
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Re: My first HUSH post
[ QUOTE ]
Are you basically saying there's at least a 1/15 chance that UTG is just being stupid? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, definitely. I play 5/10, so maybe you don't ever see this at 1/2, but you'll see UTG being stupid here way more than 1/15. Although I can't imagine the limit would matter here. You're probably beat the majority of the time, but you can't be 93% sure you're beat here. I also agree that this has to be raised PF, this is not a board where you can wait for the turn to raise. |
#8
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Re: My first HUSH post
Right, but you don't have to wait until the river to find that out. Raise the flop and you'll find out whether you need to fold earlier, or you can get to a showdown cheaper.
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#9
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Re: My first HUSH post
Yeah, I think you and kiddo are probably right on your suggestion to raise the flop.
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#10
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Re: My first HUSH post
[ QUOTE ]
Don't play 1/2 6 max if you fold so easily with a decent hand and huge pot odds at the river. You will be crashed. [/ QUOTE ] If this guy had aggressionfactor 0.4 over a decent number of hands there is no way he will do this without a monster. This is the kind of guy that will stop betting a set if you raise on any street and a guy that isnt betting toppair weak kicker. Of course u normally should call but not with this read. |
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