Re: Ever give credit for quads (when holding second nuts)?
I'm calling because a 9 is quit unlikely for both statistical reasons based on hand distributions and based on Bayesian inference from preflop action. Not many hands with a 9 get min-raised preflop. So I would say he has a 9 maybe 2-5% of the time, an ace around 50% of the time and I'm scooping around 45% of the time. Easy call. This line looks much more like someone trying to push me off my hand than anything else. And note that by my passive play, I have ENCOURAGED him to make that type of move. So the hands with which he will take that line are much wider. So it is much more profitable than a line where I am betting the turn and river, like in the actual hand, where I am encouraging him to fold and he is STILL pushing over the top.
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