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Old 12-02-2005, 03:11 AM
reecelights reecelights is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Bristol, PA
Posts: 87
Default Re: $33 MTT, Overbet by Big stack. Pair+flush draw

Could have:
-AA, KK: limp/reraise plan didn't work and he's making up for it trying to catch someone who hit the Q.
-AQ: maybe one club, probably not, but trying to protect TPTK
-AcJc: you're ahead, but he has 13 outs on you making you a very slight favorite

The only thing you are ahead of is the draw, and it's a very slight edge.

If you are behind you might have 13 outs yourself, making you a slight dog. Your getting about 5:4 on your money (I think, it's late) so it's a borderline pot odds call, too.

You have 20 BB, and barring any previously seen semi-bluff push attempts on his part, I think you fold and wait for a better spot.

It's an interesting hand, but with 20BB and a gross overbet of the pot which to me reads as defending a made hand, think you are in trouble, and should fold.
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