Re: A Question About Marginal Hands
Over my last 5000 hands I've had AA just 17 times (average 22) and deuces 28 times (average 22). Of those AA I've won just 10 times, avg reward +1.11 BB/100 but it should be up nearer 3 BB/100. So just on AA alone, my expectation would be (and there isn't a great deal of skill to playing AA) a lot greater than where I am over the last 5000 hands.
eg
AA win 10/17 @ 1.1 = +11BB
AA win 17/22 @ 2.77 = +47BB
This hits my profit line....
Add to that the 25 times I've played 22/33/44 and not hit trips once, and I'm accounting for about 20 BB shortfall right there. So I can adduce some 56 BB of losses to simply running bad. Any more [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] is down to me behaving like a plankton.
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