View Single Post
  #28  
Old 09-21-2005, 10:35 AM
catlover catlover is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 125
Default Re: Is there anybody going to listen to my story

Seems like opponent's most likely hands are 44-55. There are 3 ways he could have 44 and 1 way he could have 55. But he might have slowed down at some point with 44. So let's say at this point he is 50% 44, 30% 55, and 20% something else. "Something else" might be a very aggressively played A5s or JJ for instance.

I think it's a raise, but I think it's very close. If you take my numbers, you are going to lose 1 bets 70% of the time, and win 1-2 bets 30% of the time. But winning 2 bets with a reraise is a realistic possibility, versus A5s for instace.

Because of the chance of winning 2 bets, I think it's a reraise. But it's close.
Reply With Quote