Thread: Pop quiz
View Single Post
  #55  
Old 09-08-2005, 03:02 PM
detruncate detruncate is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 680
Default Re: Pop quiz

I'm busting out sick math skillz. Watch out all you 6th graders. I'm nipping at your heels.

If... "You decide it'll probably take 2 pair to win. The pot is just big enough that, with your implied odds, you can barely call if you plan to fold unimproved. You are getting the proper odds to draw, but just barely."

Then... the pot has to be 6.5:7.5:1 depending on whether we're basing our "proper odds to draw" on getting 2 bets on the river or 1 (and ignoring rake). Our 5 out draw = 8.2:1, which translates to 10.87% equity.

If... the pot is 6.5-7.5 BB and when "you call the turn, you decide that you're going to be forced to call a river bet unimproved."

Then... our odds of winning UI have to be at least 7.5:2, which gives us 21.05% equity.

Therefore... our total equity = (at least) 30.88%. Folding would be a major mistake.
Reply With Quote