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-   -   flop math (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=329363)

mudbuddha 09-04-2005 04:47 AM

flop math
 
anyone know the method to figure out how often you will outflop a person, i understand the calculators for river and turn but is there a way to figure out how often the KQ will outflop AJ or something?? im not very good at math

baumer 09-04-2005 05:02 AM

Re: flop math
 
please post this in the probability forum.

mudbuddha 09-04-2005 12:52 PM

Re: flop math
 
rgr, haha i was hoping aaron brown would answer my post tho. haha

09-04-2005 07:43 PM

Re: flop math
 
Aaron would know, he's a genius.

KidPokerX 09-04-2005 09:09 PM

Re: flop math
 
Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't "out-flopping" the same as winning? Would'nt the win % and outflop % be the same?

mudbuddha 09-05-2005 02:17 AM

Re: flop math
 
well, it would be purely 3 cards, not all 5.. so would b different, so.. AK would not be 50% with a pocket pair.
chagnes liekt hat

KidPokerX 09-05-2005 07:55 PM

Re: flop math
 
Oh ok.
Have you found out yet? I'm curious to see if the numbers change much.

mudbuddha 09-06-2005 02:40 AM

Re: flop math
 
nope nothin..

09-06-2005 11:18 AM

Re: flop math
 
[ QUOTE ]
anyone know the method to figure out how often you will outflop a person, i understand the calculators for river and turn but is there a way to figure out how often the KQ will outflop AJ or something?? im not very good at math

[/ QUOTE ]

Let's ignore flushes for now. AJ is cleary the dominant hand, so KQ needs some cards to promote it we have:
KKK (1 possibility)
QQQ (1 possibility)
KKx (135 possibilities -- x is any non-K)
QQx (135 possibilities -- x is any non-Q)
KQx (378 possibilities -- x is any non-KQT)
AJT for the straight (36 possibilities since one A and J are already gone)
KJx (324 possibilities)
QJx (324 possibilities)
Kxx (1890 possibilities)
Qxx (1890 possibilities)

So, there are 17296 possibile flops, and, of those flops, 5114 favor the KQ, so that's going to be worse than 1 in 3.

mudbuddha 09-06-2005 03:44 PM

Re: flop math
 
hm is there a general formula of some sort?


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