Two Plus Two Older Archives - Break-even stretch

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Stork

08-29-2005 03:13 AM

Break-even stretch

So I'm hoping you stats guys can riddle me this...

What is the probability of a 3BB/100, a 2BB/100, and a 1BB/100 winner having a break-even stretch lasting 20K hands? I know it has happened to some winning players, although I'm still alittle uncomfortable with it.

DougOzzzz

08-29-2005 03:25 AM

Re: Break-even stretch

This can't be answered unless you give a standard deviation along with the win rate.

Stork

08-29-2005 04:06 AM

Re: Break-even stretch

I don't know where to find this in PT, but lets assume 19BB/100.

DougOzzzz

08-29-2005 04:30 AM

Re: Break-even stretch

3BB/100 - 1.28%
2BB/100 - 6.83%
1BB/100 - 22.83%

Those are the cumulative numbers - they include playing worse than break even over 20K hands.

Stork

08-29-2005 04:58 PM

Re: Break-even stretch

Thanks. Time for me to do some serious odds-defying, then.

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