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  #1  
Old 08-29-2005, 03:13 AM
Stork Stork is offline
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Default Break-even stretch

So I'm hoping you stats guys can riddle me this...

What is the probability of a 3BB/100, a 2BB/100, and a 1BB/100 winner having a break-even stretch lasting 20K hands? I know it has happened to some winning players, although I'm still alittle uncomfortable with it.
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Old 08-29-2005, 03:25 AM
DougOzzzz DougOzzzz is offline
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Default Re: Break-even stretch

This can't be answered unless you give a standard deviation along with the win rate.
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Old 08-29-2005, 04:06 AM
Stork Stork is offline
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Default Re: Break-even stretch

I don't know where to find this in PT, but lets assume 19BB/100.
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Old 08-29-2005, 04:30 AM
DougOzzzz DougOzzzz is offline
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Default Re: Break-even stretch

3BB/100 - 1.28%
2BB/100 - 6.83%
1BB/100 - 22.83%

Those are the cumulative numbers - they include playing worse than break even over 20K hands.
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Old 08-29-2005, 04:58 PM
Stork Stork is offline
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Default Re: Break-even stretch

Thanks. Time for me to do some serious odds-defying, then.
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