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  #1  
Old 03-08-2004, 07:20 PM
scalf scalf is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: south carolina, usa
Posts: 2,120
Default scalf\'s super special..

[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] ya' all don't deserve it....aber, but..

lol

i did see a post by zee with caps....so

everything is possible....

key bet (er excuse me investment)

thirty year treasuries forming a bearish pattern..part of a 45 year low in rates...

play the 3month put 110 at about $500 to control 100,000...

gl..only for those that wanta at least double their cash..

gl

not an inducement to invest..for amusement purposes only..

gl [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
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  #2  
Old 03-08-2004, 08:30 PM
Ray Zee Ray Zee is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2002
Location: montana usa
Posts: 2,043
Default Re: scalf\'s super special..

so you think with cost push inflation at our door. high oil prices and utilites, and a weak dollar, people will not be satisfied with 4% return, for a long time period lock up of their money.

so do i
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  #3  
Old 03-09-2004, 12:24 AM
adios adios is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 2,298
Default Re: scalf\'s super special..

Calling a bottom in interest rates ha? Ok it's done in more than one in the past 6 months as the bond market continues to rally. Greenspan basically said in recent testimony to Congress to avoid 30 year fixed rate mortgages. To me that's a clear signal that he doesn't see any problems with inflation anytime soon. I don't see cost-push inflation as a problem. Higher oil prices will have a dampening effect on economic growth in the US. Productivity numbers are high for both durable and non-durable goods. If memory serves 2 year TIPS yield-to-maturity was negative, that's right below zero as quoted on Thursday. I would guess they'll still have a negative yield to maturity [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. The biggest concern for the US economy is slower growth and a slowdown in consummer spending. My prediction is that ugly word deflation will come back into the economic lexicon. You guys can all tell me how wrong I am now. I hope I am.
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