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Old 02-09-2004, 02:28 PM
laxrulz777 laxrulz777 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 16
Default Flopping 4 to a flush odds... what am I doing wrong?

I've seen it posted on several websites that your odds of flopping 4 to a flush (with two in your hand) are 10.944%... however, when I do the math I get the following

11*10*48/(50*49*48)*(3!/(2!*1!)) - .008418 (the odds of hitting 5 to a flush)

simplifyig some of that mess above gets us to:

11*10/(50*49)*3 - .008418 = .126276

what am I doing wrong?
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  #2  
Old 02-09-2004, 02:43 PM
Lost Wages Lost Wages is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Houston, Texas
Posts: 981
Default Re: Flopping 4 to a flush odds... what am I doing wrong?

..odds of flopping 4 to a flush (with two in your hand) are 10.944%...

The probability of flopping a four flush is:

# of flops with 2 of your suit
------------------------------------ =
total # of possible flops

(C(11,2)*39)/C(50,3) =

((11*10)/2)*39
--------------------
(50*49*48)/(3*2)

=10.94%

Lost Wages

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