#1
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Help calculating odds after flop
I need some help trying to calculate odds.
I am working on my game using Wilsons Turbo Texas Holdem. Anyway, the system is running a $20/$40 game. I have a K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] in the small blind. 4 players see the flop. When the betting returns to me after my initial check, the pot is at $287. The call is $60 which gives me pot odds of 4.78:1. I think I should fold, but I am having problem figuring out my card odds. The flop is T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] This gives me the following possibilities: 1. an inside straight (4 J's) 2. Backdoor flush (QJT9876532 of [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]) 3. Trips (A, K, Q, T, 4) 4. Two pairs 5. Pairs Questions: 1. Do you count all of the possibilities? 2. How do you quickly calculate these sort of odds when playing? Thanks, revoohc |
#2
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Re: Help calculating odds after flop
I would count just the jacks and one out for the backdoor flush, giving me 5 (you probably want to discount further since the jacks make a split possible or likely).
8.4:1 ? If there will be no betting on the turn, you have about 10 one card equivalent outs (or five outs twice), so about 3.7:1 odds are needed. So you could call if everyone was allin, Craig |
#3
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Re: Help calculating odds after flop
[ QUOTE ]
How do you quickly calculate these sort of odds when playing? [/ QUOTE ] you don't. you should know some of the more common odds off hand and just know that long shot draws go a long way as far as adding to your chance of improving your hand to the best hand. so if a backdoor flush or an inside straight draw is your only chance to win, then you might not want to continue, but coupled with other outs it turns a fold into a call. |
#4
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Re: Help calculating odds after flop
I agree with the other posters here, just wanted to add that when you are looking at your outs in a situation such as this one, the pot may not be laying you as good of odds as you think. For example, if you count a J as an out, you could easily be drawing to a split pot (anyone else with a K), which cuts your odds in half.
-Brian |
#5
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Re: Help calculating odds after flop
So the flop betting went you check, bet, raise, reraise and now it is back to you. I would expect it to get capped behind you. So it will cost $80 and the other players capping and calling would bring the pot total up to $407. You are getting just over 5 to 1 on a call here. Your only real out is a Jack and that may be to split pot. The odds of hitting your inside straight draw are 43 to 4 or almost 11 to 1. You back door flush is not going to make much of a difference. This is a clear fold.
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#6
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Re: Help calculating odds after flop
Also note that if you do catch a King or two, anyone with a Jack has made a straight.
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