$33 ITM low PP blind war

[splashpot]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (3 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

SB (t2390)
Hero (t3190)
Button (t2420)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t800</font>, Hero??

Everyone seems pretty solid. Everyone is raising or pushing a lot of hands.

[suited_ace]

How often do you think SB will call your push?

[splashpot]

That's the million dollar question. How often would he have to fold to make this push profitable?

Has he pushed much before? If he's been pushbotting and suddenly minraises, I'd be worried about a higher PP. If he doesn't pushbot then I'd go over the top.

[jeffraider]

I normally jam here, I don't really care about reads. You're ITM, he folds some of the time and lots of the time he calls you're on the right side of the coinflip.

[cha59]

[ QUOTE ]
That's the million dollar question. How often would he have to fold to make this push profitable?

[/ QUOTE ]

If he's pushing with only the top 25% of hands this is 0.0% EV to call. I think most players who made it that far into the tourney are pushing with a lot more hands than that. If he's pushing the top 50% of hands its +0.6% to call. FWIW I'd call unless the SB hadnt played a hand in a long time.

[bigt439]

[ QUOTE ]
I normally jam here, I don't really care about reads. You're ITM, he folds some of the time and lots of the time he calls you're on the right side of the coinflip.

[/ QUOTE ]

This becomes slightly more of a discussion if he just open pushed, but I think you have to call that against ALOT of people. I think this is an easy shove against anyone.

I'd definitely push this one. Not only are you probably ahead but if he calls and you win, you're in a commanding position to take down first. I believe he'll fold a lot of the time too but I might be a little too aggressive in 3-way play.