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  #1  
Old 09-22-2005, 08:12 AM
jenson jenson is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 7
Default should i get away from this?

This is very typical of my play. I play tight aggresive poker for a couple of hours. Folding lots of hands and winning small pots and inevitably losing a big pot or two each night.

In this case I probably should have raised 4*BB preflop but 3*BB was usually enough to get a single caller at this table (at least when no one else has entered the pot yet).

Villain is VP$P 28%, PFR% 1.35%, AF .53, WTS$ 37% for 74 hands.

Knowing these stats, how would that effect the way you play this hand?

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (9 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

UTG+1 ($26.40)
MP1 ($5.75)
<font color="#C00000">Hero ($26.20)</font>
<font color="#C00000">MP3 (Villain)/ ($11.95)</font>
CO ($12.40)
Button ($22.60)
SB ($16.30)
BB ($19.95)
UTG ($25.85)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.75</font>, <font color="#C00000">MP3 (Villain)/ calls $0.75</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls $0.75, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $0.50.

Flop: ($3.10) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.50</font>, <font color="red">Villain Calls</font>, Button folds, BB folds.

Turn: 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="red">Hero bets $8.10 </font>, <font color="red">Villain goes all-in for $8.70,</font> <font color="red">Hero calls</font>

River: 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Final Pot: $24.25

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Villain shows 5d 6d

Villain wins $24.25 with straight, seven high

</font>
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  #2  
Old 09-22-2005, 08:18 AM
noggindoc noggindoc is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 42
Default Re: should i get away from this?

maybe raise more preflop?
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  #3  
Old 09-22-2005, 10:27 AM
DoomSlice DoomSlice is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 582
Default Re: should i get away from this?

Definately raise more preflop if you are planning on getting it all in (or most of it all in) without improving. Yeah, you probably should be getting away from it, Villain either hand you smoked on the flop or smoked now.

Let's look at likely holdings here:
A7 that took a stand, 56, 76, 73 (top pair + gutshot): this one is less likely due to villain's stats, 6 (mid pair + gutshot), 75, 35, 78, sets, and overpairs.

Most likely of these are A7, 56, 67, sets, and overpairs, although with the weaker overpairs you're likely to get repopped on the flop.

I'm not going to do the math because I dont' have time, but I'm going to guess that it's going to be leaning towards a fold.
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  #4  
Old 09-22-2005, 10:30 AM
jenson jenson is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 7
Default Re: should i get away from this?

Anyone want to comment on how this player's stats effect my postflop plays? He's a little loose and sees 37% of showdowns. Would you classify him as a calling station?

Regarding the preflop raise? Depending on game conditions my standard raise is usually 3XBB + (1BB per limper). When playing with super loose limpers (VP$P &gt; 50%) I'll raise higher in order to make them pay the price to see the flop, which they usually do.

Thanks!
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