$109 Bubble: Push or Fold

MSUcougar · #1 09-13-2005, 02:34 AM

NL Texas Hold'em $100 Buy-in + $9 Entry Fee Trny:15691870 Level:6 Blinds(100/200) - Tuesday, September 13, 01:52:06 EDT 2005
Table Table 12938 (Real Money)
Seat 9 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 5: VILLAIN ( $525 )
Seat 6: ( $4385 )
Seat 9: ( $3435 )
Seat 10: HERO ( $1655 )
Trny:15691870 Level:6
Blinds(100/200)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ 6c Js ]
( $4385 ) folds.
( $3435 ) folds.
HERO ????

ok so I'm in the SB with 1555 after posting. BB has 325 after posting. I don't particularly want to double BB up.

BB has been (too) tight on the bubble, but I'm sure he knows he needs to call with basically anything if I push.

If I fold I have 1555 to his 625. If I push and lose I have 1130 to his 1050.

Push or fold? Why?

deathpotato · #2 09-13-2005, 02:38 AM

Push or fold? Push.

Why? Because ICM says so.

raptor517 · #3 09-13-2005, 02:51 AM

shove shove. why? umm.. its a 109, so he might actually fold, J6 against random 2 with 300 dead in the pot should seem pretty automatic.. you still have more chips than him even if you push he calls and you lose.. could write a book. holla

curtains · #4 09-13-2005, 04:14 AM

Folding this is terrible.

Stoneii · #5 09-13-2005, 08:21 AM

push - if yer playing to have a chance at winning it - u must push - if u fold (i.e. announce you are trying to limp to money) the two bigger stacks will attack you mercilessly. Take a shot and u can win it if he folds or if u hit 1 of yer hopefully 2 live cards.

Other two players will be (should be!!) slightly more respectful to you then.

stoneii

schwza · #6 09-13-2005, 10:20 AM

[ QUOTE ]
shove shove. why? umm.. its a 109, so he might actually fold,

[/ QUOTE ]

i thought a fold would be more likely from an 11 player.

[ QUOTE ]

J6 against random 2 with 300 dead in the pot should seem pretty automatic..

[/ QUOTE ]

should be considered 200 dead b/c you only have 100 in. assuming he calls, that is. if he's absent and he folds then you get the 200.

also, right now, you're in a spot where you can't call any pushes, and you're sort of queasy about pushing into anyone but the short stack. so you'd love to bust the shorty to free yourself to play.