River fold headsup with AA against TAG

Lmn55d · #1 08-29-2005, 06:41 PM

OK, i don't usually make these sorts of fold. I have 10k hands on this opponent and he is 24/10 with 1.43 AF. I really don't think he'd 3bet the turn with less than two pair here. His turn AF is 1.5. Kx spades just hit too and I don't even think he'd push that hand on the turn with an AF like that.

Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
2 folds, Hero raises, 1 fold, BB calls.

Flop: (4.50 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB raises, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.25 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero raises, BB 3-bets, Hero calls.

River: (10.25 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 11.25 BB

Poldi · #2 08-29-2005, 06:53 PM

Trust your reads.

Lmn55d · #3 08-29-2005, 06:54 PM

well my reads are only his stats...is that good enough??

NLSoldier · #4 08-29-2005, 07:06 PM

I think not getting to showdown with a pair of aces against an agressive opponent HU is not a good idea.

wheelz · #5 08-29-2005, 07:17 PM

What were you hoping for on the river?

Lmn55d · #6 08-29-2005, 07:26 PM

an A or the board to pair.

Lmn55d · #7 08-29-2005, 07:26 PM

he's not aggressive though.

wheelz · #8 08-29-2005, 07:45 PM

That's what I figured... I just wasn't sure if you had a better idea of which you were hoping to pair. It sucks just having to hope that whatever paired doesn't match the one that's in his hand.

I think a K on the river is actually a good card for you here though.

bank · #9 08-29-2005, 08:29 PM

[ QUOTE ]
he's not aggressive though.

[/ QUOTE ]

The subject line should read "weak-tight" not TAG...with those numbers.

Lmn55d · #10 08-29-2005, 08:37 PM

yea, TAG was wrong acronym. He's probably closer to tight-passive.