$1/2 NL 6max - Flopped set, value bet the river?

vanHelsing · #1 08-12-2005, 05:48 AM

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) converter

saw flop|saw showdown

CO ($76.80)
Button ($287.12)
SB ($201.70)
BB ($208.85)
Hero ($243.85)
MP ($68)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
Hero raises to $8, 4 folds, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($17) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $15, BB calls $15.

Turn: ($47) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $30, BB calls $30.

River: ($107) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
BB checks, Hero...

Opponent is 25/3/1.5
What's your action and plan now?

#2 08-12-2005, 05:59 AM

I would either check, or bet $50 and fold to a raise

Without a read, I check it

silvershade · #3 08-12-2005, 06:01 AM

Personally I'd check, if he's got nothing I dont see him calling unless he's got the stones to come over the top putting you to a hard decision. If he hit the straight your bet will just cost you money. Of course he probably just has an A or Q, even so I think a check is right here.

thatpfunk · #4 08-12-2005, 06:11 AM

Bet $30.

vanHelsing · #5 08-12-2005, 06:16 AM

and fold to a raise?

AllIn3High · #6 08-12-2005, 06:19 AM

Bet whatever you think KQ/QJ will call. Only the 87 OESD got there, I think he's at least as likely to have had JT if he was on a draw. You're loosing a lot of value if you check here every time.

thatpfunk · #7 08-12-2005, 06:26 AM

[ QUOTE ]
and fold to a raise?

[/ QUOTE ]

It is hard to say without being at the table. I definetly call a minraise, everything else becomes tough because the small river bet (in my experience) has definetly produced bluffs/bad raises... I think if you don't feel comfortable calling a decent raise then a check is okay, but inthe long run the small bet pays off (simply because missed draws w/a pair or similar love calling this).

Raven · #8 08-12-2005, 11:49 AM

I bet 80 $ and call a raise. I think that AQ is likely here. He could even have a "tricky" 66, or QTd. A straight is really not bothering me because of the flop. I just hope he have mad some kind of two pair and pay me with it. If he have a busted draw he will fold anyway.

#9 08-12-2005, 11:58 AM

Bet 20. BTW, its not THAT bad, but why raise 8x bb with 99 UTG? what if you get reraised?

Allinlife · #10 08-12-2005, 12:06 PM

bet 50~60 and fold to a reraise. trust me..very few people are capable of bluff check-raises. checking here makes money on the table cry, too many worse hands will call your bet.

the pfr is nice too. 3bb raises don't cut it UTG in some games. since your goal of pfr should beo to isolate the pot to you and another player, adjust your pfr's accordingly depending on table texture/ your position/ limpers.