Two Plus Two Older Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Older Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-31-2005, 09:50 PM
mulebennett mulebennett is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 17
Default odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

sitting at a 10-handed hold'em game, what are the odds of being dealt three straight pocket pairs? i can't remember the last time i was dealt three in a row.. thanks for the numbers as always
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-31-2005, 10:15 PM
TomCollins TomCollins is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 172
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

3/51^3. = .02%, or 4912-1

I saw someone get a pocket pair 3 times in a row, and flop a set all 3 times. What are the odds of THAT?

PS- He lost 2 of the hands, and split one.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-31-2005, 10:16 PM
cwes cwes is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Kiel, GER
Posts: 20
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

The probability of getting a pp is 1/17.

Before you get dealt the first hand, the probability, that the next three hands will be pps is just (1/17)^3 = (1/4913).

After you've been dealt the first pp the probability that the next two hands also will be pps is (1/17)^2 = (1/289).

If you already had two pps in a row the probability of getting a third is the probability of getting a pp i.e. 1/17.

So you expect this (three pps in a row) to occur every 4913 hands you play. Shouldn't be too rare. It just happened to me yesterday (KK,QQ,JJ, two of them were good [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] ).
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 08-01-2005, 01:06 AM
Tuben Tuben is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 160
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

I got QQ,QQ,KK,AA,AA,AA in one sesion played like 2 hours.

Won 2 of thoose AA: 2 times rest a lost.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 08-01-2005, 03:23 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

I once drew pocket aces on 2 hands in a row, then skipped a hand, then got aces again. I won one pre-flop, one on the flop, and busted a player on the third AA.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 08-01-2005, 08:42 AM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

The other day I got five pocket pairs in a row. I ended up not tripping on any of them but still won 3/5.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 08-01-2005, 09:45 AM
sekrah sekrah is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 998
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

Had it happen to me this weekend.

Had Q-Q and K-K cracked on back to back hands at a 1/2 NL game at Seneca Allagany.

I asked the dealer to wash the deck,. next hand, 8-8, and I flop a set of 8's to win a pot.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 08-01-2005, 09:46 AM
sekrah sekrah is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 998
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

In an empire limit game, I got A-A, A-A, A-K on 3 consecutive hands. I lost both times with the A-A to K-3 (flush) and K-4 (flopped boat k-4-4), then I won with the A-K, on Ace-high.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 08-01-2005, 03:19 PM
spaminator101 spaminator101 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: wondering where in the world I left my sweet tea
Posts: 581
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

1/18cubed=1/5832
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 08-01-2005, 03:22 PM
spaminator101 spaminator101 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: wondering where in the world I left my sweet tea
Posts: 581
Default Re: odds of getting a pocket pair 3x in a row

its 17 to 1 or 1/18 so you cube 18 not17
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:49 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.